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Home > January 2025 Archives

Introduction to Private Credit

What is Private Credit?

Private credit is defined as directly originated or negotiated loans provided to borrowers and not traded in the public markets. Lenders are typically alternative asset managers offering dedicated private credit funds to their investors. Borrowers can include a wide range of entities: companies, private markets funds, real estate and infrastructure owners, developers, and operators, consumers, intellectual property creators and owners, and others. For some borrowers, private credit has filled the gap left by traditional lenders’ decreased participation in certain markets in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis.

Private credit strategies span the capital spectrum, from senior credit to hybrid equity/credit solutions.

Potential Reasons to Invest

1. Potential for Premium Yields

Private credit has historically generated higher yield than the most comparable publicly traded instruments: broadly syndicated loans and high yield of a similar credit rating1. Private credit has commanded wider (higher) spreads in exchange for greater sophistication, flexibility, customization, speed and certainty of execution, and ability to evaluate complexity that may impede borrower access to traditional capital.

Average Yield, Last 10 Years

Bar chart showing High Yield at 6.8%, Levered Loans at 6.2%, and Private Credit at 9.9%

1.Source: Cliffwater (private credit yields), Federal Reserve (high yield yields for the ICE BofA indices). As of 12/31/2023. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2. Resilience

Private credit has historically maintained loss ratios that are lower than those of high-yield fixed income instruments and generally in line with broadly syndicated loans. Deep access to company records received by private lenders enables stronger due diligence and documentation than may be the case in public markets. The ability to select investments without the need to manage to a benchmark can be a potential downside mitigant. Furthermore, private credit typically features a single entity or a small group lending to a borrower.  This enables the use of customized structural protections that can mitigate losses, and can make for quicker and more efficient workouts — and potentially greater recovery — in case of default, compared to publicly syndicated debt instruments that are more standardized and feature multiple lenders with competing priorities.

Average Credit Loss

Bar chart showing High Yield at 1.58%, Levered Loans at 0.89%, and Private Credit at 0.96%

Source: Cliffwater as of December 2023. Private Credit is represented by the Cliffwater Direct Lending Index. High Yield is represented by the Bloomberg US High Yield Index. Levered Loans are represented by the LSTA leveraged loan index. Represents the average of annual credit losses over the 10 years through 2023.

3. Diversified Opportunity Set

The addressable market in private credit has exhibited robust growth and is increasingly diversified across the spectrum of size, collateral, and sensitivity to the economic cycle. This enables the investor to customize their exposures in the credit space.  Some strategies are primarily floating-rate, mitigating their interest-rate sensitivity; others are fixed-rate.  Some strategies, such as performing corporate and real asset credit, tend to move with the economic cycle. Others, such as distressed and opportunistic, may be more counter-cyclical, with a more attractive opportunity set during challenging economic times. Hybrid equity/credit strategies may be all-weather (across the cycle).  Some specialty credit strategies are tied to assets with idiosyncratic profiles and are less sensitive to the cycles of the broader economy. 

Assets Under Management (USD trillion)

Stacked bar chart showing the growth of assets under management across direct lending, mezzanine, distressed and special situations, real estate debt, and infrastructure debt

Click here to access data for the line chart listed above.

Source: Preqin, as of December 2023.

Private credit involves an investment in non-publically traded securities which may be subject to illiquidity risk.  In addition, portfolios that invest in private credit may be leveraged and may engage in speculative investment practices that increase the risk of investment loss.

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Introduction to Private Equity

What is Private Equity?

Private equity refers to investments in the equity of companies not traded in the public markets, and can include investments in everything from new start-up companies to mature, well-established businesses. Private equity funds typically seek to increase the value of the businesses they own by influencing their strategic direction, guiding expansion, providing operational expertise, and/or optimizing their capital structures before ultimately monetizing each investment through an initial public offering, sale or other event.

Potential Reasons to Invest

1. Potential for Long-Term Growth and Enhanced Returns

Private equity has, in aggregate, outperformed public markets over a variety of time frames, by 3-5% annualized (net of fees) depending on the time frame – and not only due to differences in leverage, sector or style composition compared to public benchmarks.1 We believe this outperformance is driven by access to differentiated opportunities and by active value creation inherent to private equity ownership.

Private capital typically features a higher cost of capital than public capital – with the benefits accruing to the investors that supply it. Yet companies are increasingly choosing private capital due to lower indirect costs (e.g., administrative and regulatory costs of being public), a more efficient governance structure that supports long-term value creation without emphasis on interim results, and the benefits delivered by a value-added partner who can lend expertise as well as capital to help the company grow and transform. Such benefits are particularly valuable to companies undergoing meaningful change or a pivot in their trajectory.

Private Equity Outperformance over Global Equities

Bar chart showing 10 years at 5%, 15 years at 3.2%, and 20 years at 5.3%

Source: Cambridge Associates, as of 12/31/2023. PME is a public market equivalent methodology that measures the performance comparison between a private investment and a public alternative. PME methodologies assumes that inflows are used to purchase public shares whose sale produces outflows, all of it done per the private schedule. Under PME, actual private contributions are invested in the public market index. Distributions are calculated in the same proportion as in the private investment. In essence, the public equivalent “sells” the same proportion of the dollar value of public shares contained in the calculated NAV as the private investment sells in private shares. Public returns, combined with these PME cash flows, generate a public-equivalent NAV stream. The PME outperformance is calculated from the sample IRR minus the PME Index IRR. This calculation does not adjust for leverage, hedging, or other risk factors that may be present in the private equity investment. Unlike public equity investments, private equity is illiquid and may not be readily sold for its stated value. Positive PME outperformance indicates outperformance compared to the index return, and negative PME outperformance indicates underperformance.  Private equity PME vs. the MSCI World index

2. Wider Opportunity Set Than Public Equity Market

A meaningful portion of value creation that was previously generated in public markets is now being built under private ownership. Across many developed markets, the number of public companies has decreased in recent years, while the number of private equity-backed companies has expanded.2 In addition, companies are staying private for longer, spending more of their most innovative, highest-growth years under private ownership.

Private equity is able to support companies across a broader range of company development stages than is the case in public markets.  Private equity investments span the company lifecycle, from early-stage companies with innovative ideas which may be too young for public markets (venture capital and growth equity), to mature businesses (buyouts) to companies in need of meaningful change in operations, capital structure, or both (structured solutions).  All of these stages can offer attractive opportunities for investors.

Total Number of Companies

Line chart showing the change in total number of US Public and US PE-Backed companies from 2001 - 2023

Sources: Private equity companies over time: PitchBook, as of 12/31/2023. Excludes venture-backed companies. Public companies over time: World Bank, McKinsey. 

3. Operational Value Creation

Private equity managers are active owners, working hand-in-hand with their portfolio companies to boost growth trajectories, enhance operating efficiency, and, in many cases, transform the company for long-term value creation. Since private fund managers have more concentrated ownership of the companies they own, as compared to public equity managers, it is easier for them to influence their portfolio companies.

Experienced managers have extensive expertise in everything from growing and scaling businesses, to improving strategy and operations, to integrating technology for growth and efficiency. We believe this expertise is more important than ever in today’s environment of rapid change and emphasis on resiliency, agility and innovation.

A recent study has found that private equity-owned companies grew revenues and earnings by greater amounts than publicly owned companies of comparable size, and enjoyed higher margins.3

Operating Metrics Comparison: Public vs. Private Equity

Source: Cambridge Associates; US Private Equity Looking Back, Looking Forward: Ten Years of CA Operating Metrics. Median operating metrics for the period 2000-2020, returns for the period 2000-Q1 2022

Private equity investments can be risky since they provide exposure to private companies for which operating results in a specified period will be difficult to predict. Such investments may involve business and financial risk that can result in substantial losses. In addition, private equity funds can be illiquid and typically cannot be transferred or redeemed for a period of time.

  1. See, for instance, Robert S Harris, Tim Jenkinson and Steven N. Kaplan, “How Do Private Equity Investments Perform Compared to Public Equity?” (Journal of Investment Management, 2016), and “Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds” (SSRN, March 2022); and “Performance Analysis and Attribution with Alternative Investments” Matteo Binfare, Gregory Brown, Andra Ghent, Wendy Hu, Christian Lundblad, Richard Maxwell, Shawn Munday, and Lu Yi—January 2022.
  2. Sources: Private equity companies over time: PitchBook, as of 12/31/2023. Public companies over time: World Bank, McKinsey.
  3. Source: Cambridge Associates; US Private Equity Looking Back, Looking Forward: Ten Years of CA Operating Metrics. Median operating metrics for the period 2000-2020, returns for the period 2000-Q1 2022

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Introduction to Infrastructure

What is Infrastructure?

Infrastructure is the backbone of our society, comprising assets that provide services essential to our lives.  The scope of infrastructure is undergoing a profound transformation, as the ways we live, move, and communicate evolve.  The modern infrastructure landscape can be classified across four key segments: energy & utilities, transport & logistics, digital assets, and circular economy & other services. 

Infrastructure strategies encompass a wide variety of opportunities across the risk and return spectrum. They can offer a combination of income and long-term growth, depending on the underlying approach. 

Potential Reasons to Invest

1. Resiliency, with Potential Inflation Protection

Infrastructure companies have a distinct business model not typically found in other asset classes.  The services they provide are essential, and the number of competitors is limited by regulatory and/or physical constraints.  Many assets feature long-term revenue contracts, often with price escalators explicitly tied to inflation.  Together, these factors make for sticky customer bases, resilient cash flows, and inflation protection.  In the most recent inflationary environment, infrastructure yields rose with, and above, inflation levels.

Annualized Asset-Level Returns During Periods with Core Inflation Exceeding 2.5% YoY Since 2000

Source: Burgiss (private infrastructure and real estate), S&P 500 (public equities), Bloomberg Barclays (public fixed income) and BLS (inflation; year-over-year increase in CPI ex-food and energy), as of December 31, 2024. EDHEC Infra300 index for private infrastructure in 2Q2000-1Q2002 due to limited data coverage in Burgiss. Indices are unmanaged and do not include fees. Private infrastructure is not traded on an exchange and will have less liquidity than public entities. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. High-inflation regimes defined as those where CPI was at or above 2.5%. First data period starts from April 2000 due to data availability for private infrastructure.

2. Differentiated Returns

The defensive nature of revenues for many infrastructure assets makes them less sensitive not only to economic cycles but, by extension, to macro-driven equity and credit market movements.  The asset class has offered differentiated returns relative to equities and fixed income, with private infrastructure, in particular, offering lower correlations to traditional asset classes.  Given these differentiated returns, adding private infrastructure to a portfolio of traditional asset classes can enhance the portfolio’s risk-adjusted return profile. 

Infrastructure Correlation

Source: Cambridge Associates (private infrastructure), MSCI (MSCI World, global equities), Bloomberg (Bloomberg Barclays global high yield), FTSE (FTSE EPRA NAREIT, global public real estate), FTSE Global Infrastructure index (public infrastructure).  Based on 15  years of quarterly data through 2024.  Past performance is not indicative of future results.

3. Capitalizing on Secular Megatrends

Secular megatrends are driving waves of innovation, redefining the way we live, work, and communicate. As the backbone of our society, infrastructure supports and services the tools of transformation by delivering critical energy, communications, and logistics services. As such, infrastructure provides investors unique ways to gain exposure to these structural growth drivers.

Infrastructure Opportunities Within Secular Megatrends

Technology

  • A 2.7x increase in data center power consumption is expected by 2030, requiring ~$475bn+ of new capex1

Resource Usage

  • $3.0tn clean power, energy & electrification investments required annually through 2030 to meet UN Sustainable Development Goals1,2

Trade Realignment

  • Trade volumes are expected to grow at +3% in 20254, but trade patterns are realigning, requiring increased investment in port and logistics infrastructure

Demographics

  • People age 65+ are projected to make up 15% of the world’s population in 20 years5, potentially shifting public spending priorities and driving demand for private infrastructure funding

Sources: 1. GS Investment Research; FactSet; World Bank; Cisco; company websites. Assumes a PUE of 1.58 based on 2023 global average, and $10 million per MW of construction cost. 2. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research (Oct 2021); 3. The Climate Policy Initiative has estimated this figure to be as high as $4.1 trillion minimum investment annually by 2030 (Climate Policy Initiative, “Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2021. 4. Bloomberg NEF; IHS trade data; Global Outlook for Air Transport – IATA. 5 World Bank, Fouquin and Hugot (CEPII 2016) – processed by Our World in Data; United Nations World Population Prospects 2024 

Certain infrastructure investments may be exposed to regulatory risks and there may be the possibility that that legislative changes can affect partnerships and pricing structures. In addition, some infrastructure funds can be illiquid and typically cannot be transferred or redeemed for a period of time.

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Introduction to Secondaries

What are Secondaries?

Secondary investors buy existing ownership stakes in private market assets from other investors. Assets transacted can range from a single company in a transaction alongside the General Partner to an entire portfolio of funds in a transaction sold by a Limited Partner who owns stakes in the funds.

Secondaries activity has steadily risen over the past decade as the strategy is increasingly embraced by leading institutional LPs and GPs and as an effective portfolio management tool for investors who are overallocated to private markets or wish to consolidate their manager relationships. As the market has expanded, it has become diversified across underlying strategies, from buyouts and venture capital to real estate, infrastructure, and private credit.  As the range of transaction structures has expanded, secondary firms have evolved to become providers not just of liquidity but of bespoke capital solutions to GPs and LPs.

Potential Reasons to Invest

1. Opportunity to Acquire Assets at a Discount

Secondaries investors provide liquidity to primary investors in illiquid assets.  This liquidity has value for the sellers; accordingly, secondary assets typically transact at a discount to their net asset values.  Purchasing partnerships interests at a discount can be a source of returns beyond the value creation made in the underlying asset.  The discount varies over time based on the quality of the underlying portfolio and market conditions, and may be especially wide in times of market stress.  The ability to create value by executing a complex transaction can also enhance return in this strategy.

Secondary Market Pricing as % of NAV

Source: Jefferies, “2024 Global Secondary Market Review”, as of January 2025, data on global secondary activity.

2. Accelerated, Diversified Exposure

Since secondary funds buy interests in existing funds, they offer investors private assets exposure diversified by vintage year, strategy, industry, fund manager and geography, among other factors.  By providing investors with exposure to more mature private asset portfolios, secondaries funds are typically able to return capital more quickly than a typical drawdown private equity investment fund. Secondary funds also provide exposure to prior vintage years – a benefit that is especially valuable to newer private markets programs or those in ramp-up mode.  Evergreen private markets funds likewise offer accelerated, diversified exposure; however, unlike evergreen funds, secondary funds do so without a liquidity sleeve that acts as a drag on returns.

Secondaries vs. Primary Buyout Fund Cumulative Net Cash Flows as % of Commitment

Line chart showing the change in buyouts and secondaries in the first 10 years.

Source: Cambridge Associates, as of Q4 2023. Average across funds of vintages 2000-2019.

3. Risk Mitigation

Because secondary funds invest in existing privately-owned assets, they are able to mitigate some of the risk of primary funds, in which investors commit to new partnerships that have not yet started investing at the time of commitment.  Secondaries can mitigate “blind pool risk” – the risk that comes from not knowing which assets will ultimately be in the portfolio.  As part of the process of diligence and transaction negotiation, the secondaries manager diligences and values underlying assets.  This gives the manager an opportunity to reprice assets for both investment-specific considerations and the overall macro / market environment, in order to target an attractive rate of return.  Pricing can also consider the health of the underlying fund’s investment organization, evaluating how organizational factors may impact investment outcomes in the future.

Historically, secondary funds have enjoyed lower loss ratios than primary funds across a variety of strategies.

Percentage of Funds Below Cost: Primary vs. Secondary Funds

Source: Preqin. As of February 25, 2025. Includes funds in vintages 2000 to 2019 globally with latest performance reported on a track record of at least 5 years. Data on primary funds for each asset class except Secondaries. Past performance is not indicative of future results

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